Malawi is marching toward what could be a historic political showdown on September 16, 2025—and if respected political analyst Lyson Sibande is right, the ruling Malawi Congress Party (MCP) is not just participating. It is about to triumph, thunderously.
In a bold and unapologetically confident forecast, Sibande has placed his bet on President Lazarus Chakwera and his mighty MCP, calling the outcome before a single vote is counted. According to his prediction, unless some miracle alliance between the opposition DPP and UTM rises from the ashes (and quickly), the ruling party will sweep the election with a commanding 52% of the vote—leaving the rest of the field gasping in its wake.
“All other factors constant, on potential DPP/UTM alliance failing, the presidential results for September elections will be as follows,” Sibande posted with a digital wink.
“1. UTM = about 10%
2. DPP = about 35%
3. MCP = about 52%
4. Others = about 3%
Take and keep screenshot. Show me when official results are announced from 17 September.”
Mic. Drop.
This isn’t idle political chatter. Sibande, known for correctly predicting elections in both Malawi and even the United States, has gained a cult-like following—and an equally loud group of critics. Opposition supporters have pounced on his prediction like lions on raw meat, accusing him of bias, wishful thinking, and even political bootlicking.
But the man is unfazed.
“Screenshot it, tattoo it on your arm, whatever you gotta do. I’ll be back every month to remind you of this prediction,” he declared with the confidence of a man who’s never lost a bet.
This electrifying forecast has sent shockwaves through the political corridors. For the MCP faithful, it is music to their ears—a drumbeat of victory that affirms their belief in President Chakwera’s leadership. With the opposition still seemingly fractured and scrambling for unity, Sibande’s words feel less like a guess and more like a prophecy.
Should the DPP and UTM fail to forge an alliance in time, Sibande’s numbers paint a grim picture for the opposition. UTM at 10%? DPP at 35%? That’s not just defeat—it’s political vaporization.
Meanwhile, inside the MCP camp, champagne corks may not be popping yet—but you can bet the glasses are polished and ready.
As the countdown to September begins, one thing is certain: the political drama is just getting started, and Sibande is standing in the front row—popcorn in hand—waiting to say “I told you so.”
